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Beyond the Fear: Finding the 2026 Bitcoin Bottom with Math, Not Emotion
The crypto market has been in "Extreme Fear" territory for the past two months, and frankly, it's easy to see why. We are currently facing a storm of macro headwinds and severe geopolitical tensions, most notably the ongoing conflict involving Iran, that are keeping the markets heavily suppressed. On top of the macro landscape, we are in the critical negotiation phase of a landmark piece of legislation. While this bill promises to finally bring long-awaited regulatory clarity
Dr Theodoros Christodoulou
Apr 63 min read


Bitcoin Bear Market: Finding the Mathematical Floor (RANSAC Model)
"How low can Bitcoin go?" This is the single most asked question in crypto right now. We are seeing fear in the streets, uncertainty about the four-year cycle, and endless debates about whether the bull market is over or just resting. But opinions are cheap. Emotions like fear and greed cloud our judgment. As an investor, you don't need another opinion; you need data. In my latest video, I put emotions aside and built a mathematical model to find the true "floor" price of Bit
Dr Theodoros Christodoulou
Feb 163 min read


January Will Decide: Bear Market Confirmation or Bull Market Continuation
Happy New Year to everyone reading. I hope 2026 brings you clarity, strong decision-making, and better risk-adjusted returns. January matters more than most months. Not because it can “predict” the year, but because it will likely determine whether the market is confirming a broader downtrend (bear market structure) or rebuilding momentum to continue the bull cycle. Why sentiment is fragile right now November and December were difficult for crypto. The market was still digest
Dr Theodoros Christodoulou
Jan 84 min read


Is the Bull Run Over After Bitcoin Closed Two Weeks Below the 50-Week Moving Average?
Bitcoin has now closed two consecutive weeks below the 50-week moving average, a level that historically signalled the end of previous bull runs. For many investors, this immediately raises the question of whether the market has officially entered a deeper corrective phase. In most of my blogs, I rely heavily on charts, models, and data-driven visuals to guide the analysis. But for this article, I want to take a different approach. I will include only a small number of charts
Dr Theodoros Christodoulou
Nov 24, 20254 min read
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