"How low can Bitcoin go?" This is the single most asked question in crypto right now. We are seeing fear in the streets, uncertainty about the four-year cycle, and endless debates about whether the bull market is over or just resting. But opinions are cheap. Emotions like fear and greed cloud our judgment. As an investor, you don't need another opinion; you need data. In my latest video, I put emotions aside and built a mathematical model to find the true "floor" price of Bit

Happy New Year to everyone reading. I hope 2026 brings you clarity, strong decision-making, and better risk-adjusted returns. January matters more than most months. Not because it can “predict” the year, but because it will likely determine whether the market is confirming a broader downtrend (bear market structure) or rebuilding momentum to continue the bull cycle. Why sentiment is fragile right now November and December were difficult for crypto. The market was still digest

Bitcoin has now closed two consecutive weeks below the 50-week moving average, a level that historically signalled the end of previous bull runs. For many investors, this immediately raises the question of whether the market has officially entered a deeper corrective phase. In most of my blogs, I rely heavily on charts, models, and data-driven visuals to guide the analysis. But for this article, I want to take a different approach. I will include only a small number of charts

First, a quick personal note. Apologies for not publishing a blog over the past two weeks. My wife and I just welcomed our baby into the world, and I took some time offline to be fully present with my family. Thank you for all the kind messages. Now, let’s get back to the charts. In this post, I’ll answer the question many of you are asking: Is the bull market over, or was this just a brutal reset before the next leg up? We’ll cover: What triggered the largest liquidation in